A Predictive Approach to Assessing Microcephaly Risk in Zika Virus (ZIKV) Exposure

Author(s)	Jitendra Rajbhar, Prof. A.K. Jaiswal
Country	India
Abstract	A mathematical model based on integral equations has been developed and analyzed, which transforms into a dynamical system of nonlinear differential equations to assess the risk of microcephaly caused by the Zika virus. The model specifically considers a group of susceptible pregnant women. The epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number) was determined using the next-generation matrix method. Sensitivity analysis was conducted on the threshold with respect to each parameter. Lastly, multiple system simulations were performed to evaluate the incidence of exposure.
Keywords	: Model, Microcephaly, Zika Virus, Basic Reproduction Number, Sensitivity Analysis
Field	Mathematics > Statistics
Published In	Volume 16, Issue 1, January-March 2025
Published On	2025-02-12
DOI	https://doi.org/10.71097/IJSAT.v16.i1.1844
Short DOI	https://doi.org/g85dk5

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